Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs James Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb7fc7c096d2e57c75e1129502a18e31955d9bcf02a579b6dd7d656e223871f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalibor Svrcinaof Dalibor Svrcina, James Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked James Duckworth | 23c | 16,021$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.88 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 14,866$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked James Duckworth | 3c | 12,719$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed James Duckworth | 31c | 7,990$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.27 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed James Duckworth | 31c | 6,468$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.97 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed James Duckworth | 0c | 5,845$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed James Duckworth | 14c | 5,126$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 4,850$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.97 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 68c | 4,794$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.08 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 4,058$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.96 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed James Duckworth | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Duckworth | 6c | 2,240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Dalibor Svrcina | 65c | 1,957$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.89 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed James Duckworth | 31c | 1,571$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.08 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked James Duckworth | 31c | 1,413$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.03 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed James Duckworth | 22c | 1,161$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed James Duckworth | 13c | 1,119$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed James Duckworth | 18c | 1,045$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Dalibor Svrcina | 62c | 795$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked James Duckworth | 38c | 631.71$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Duckworth | 31c | 600.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed James Duckworth | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed James Duckworth | 31c | 439.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 433.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked James Duckworth | 24c | 424.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed James Duckworth | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked James Duckworth | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed James Duckworth | 17c | 306.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed James Duckworth | 30c | 303.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed James Duckworth | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed James Duckworth | 10c | 214.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Duckworth | 12c | 186.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed James Duckworth | 11c | 175.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed James Duckworth | 8c | 165.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…bd15backed James Duckworth | 12c | 161.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed James Duckworth | 23c | 141$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed James Duckworth | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed James Duckworth | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed James Duckworth | 31c | 126.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked James Duckworth | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed James Duckworth | 31c | 107$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked James Duckworth | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked James Duckworth | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Dalibor Svrcina | 70c | 70.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed James Duckworth | 16c | 66.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 68c | 65.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 68c | 64.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed James Duckworth | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked James Duckworth | 17c | 61.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed James Duckworth | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed James Duckworth | 18c | 58.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed James Duckworth | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 70c | 49.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed James Duckworth | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed James Duckworth | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…e61dbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked James Duckworth | 31c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 71c | 29.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bd53backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Dalibor Svrcina | 71c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs James Duckworththis page
- Dalibor Svrcina vs. James Duckworth: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs DuckworthSvrcina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.