Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb1008dd85a22248fb74ff292ba32537c3ee05cfa9bb010bdd0a390013bbcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084c…8ce8backed Yes | 52c | 80,885$42,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,872.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 16,195$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 14,583$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 9,694$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 6,669$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.93 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 5,651$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 5,417$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 4,308$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.08 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 4,034$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 38c | 4,017$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 2,713$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.3 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 2,400$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.6 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 54c | 2,179$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.35 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 25c | 2,036$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 29c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed No | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 48c | 1,375$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 58c | 1,214$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.25 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.68 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 978.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 768.03$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.97 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 24c | 696.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 622$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 52c | 597.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 521.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 50c | 514.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 387.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 66c | 383$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 28c | 361.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 352.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 340$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked No | 49c | 305$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 297.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 273.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 49c | 255.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 51c | 149.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 30c | 120.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 99.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 45c | 96.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 77c | 66.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 54c | 58.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 49c | 44.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 34.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 50c | 34.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 52c | 28.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.