Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755ab0fa40675e6b639b4b825bf2d53b4b55ac5b30a39035cbb811bc9ddb3405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42bc…e110backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 8,779$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 4,911$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 76c | 4,330$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 3,938$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.72 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 2,368$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 2,359$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,346$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.7 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 75c | 2,250$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 8c | 2,150$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,986$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,499$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb444…8d6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,339$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,293$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 1,159$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 888$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 826.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Yes | 6c | 723.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 24c | 708.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed No | 74c | 675.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 10c | 604.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed No | 74c | 445.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…1817backed Yes | 26c | 406.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 25c | 402.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 366.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 75c | 274.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 76c | 263.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 237$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…021dbacked Yes | 27c | 233.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 76c | 197.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 76c | 185.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 76c | 184.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed No | 76c | 184.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…34dcbacked No | 75c | 158.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 151.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 148.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 76c | 144.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 143.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…207abacked No | 75c | 133.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 24c | 128.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…e718backed Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…c43ebacked No | 75c | 113.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 110.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…4b7dbacked Yes | 27c | 110.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 76c | 92.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 24c | 88.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 78.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 74.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 74c | 68.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 24c | 42.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 32.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…1e33backed No | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed No | 76c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…754dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed No | 75c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…f4b0backed No | 74c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed No | 76c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?this page
- Will Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.