Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdfdf8b1ea0a9bb92ad552b7a6c6a1b5320437aafa1e62fd879eb1e276a7c1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 5,070$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.37 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 29c | 5,038$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,055$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,748$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,715$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked No | 73c | 813$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 18c | 805$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 737.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 632.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 71c | 576.55$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 32c | 510$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 506$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…4f6ebacked Yes | 33c | 500.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 449.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 24c | 415.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 21c | 361.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 279.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 73c | 269.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 73c | 218.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 27c | 210.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 73c | 194.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 72c | 168.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 146.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 26c | 132.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 23c | 132.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 107$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 73c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…8e4fbacked Yes | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 23c | 89.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 86.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 84.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 74.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…fe60backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…0944backed Yes | 27c | 49.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 47.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…4386backed Yes | 27c | 45.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…e0ddbacked No | 72c | 43.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 40.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 29c | 40.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…e4b0backed Yes | 27c | 37.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked No | 74c | 30.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 74c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e8b3backed No | 74c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1e…5bdfbacked No | 74c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…3f83backed No | 74c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed No | 75c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…fdeabacked No | 74c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 74c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…f7bdbacked No | 74c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…5b07backed No | 74c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.