Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a6af0047d9159de2d177fc10104640ce32e70156236e659d7421fe9832f466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 10c | 1,250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 987.17$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Under | 51c | 505.7$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 10c | 348.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 34c | 291.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 258.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 38c | 189$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 183.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 99.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 48.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 47c | 34.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 79c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 69c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.