Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3020eee69cd2ecc945868cf881617a7ef06fcef09cbc8c07f88eba11ba54c4

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,149 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d41…24d7backed Yes	67c	1,179$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.32	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	57cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd36…a832backed Yes	43c	944.95$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.87	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	54c	713.1$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.42	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes	66c	591.24$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…53cbbacked Yes	44c	465.94$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.46	90	20%18 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	48c	463.63$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.48	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes	6c	448$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	145	21.4%31 W · 114 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes	45c	447$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.59	392	31.9%125 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	41c	427.48$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.52	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed No	53c	426.89$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.57	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec1…e2e3backed No	49c	389$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.41	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	50c	381.67$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.46	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0947…9e92backed No	57c	361.24$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.57	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+6.1wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed No	61c	359.01$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.67	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	55c	318.52$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.25	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	42c	313.57$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.78	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	40c	310.82$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1f…4877backed Yes	41c	268.48$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.47	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	8c	267$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	38c	266.93$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.22	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe01…87d3backed Yes	47c	255.76$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7da…2e69backed Yes	41c	254.76$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	53c	252.45$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.94	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee49…155ebacked No	41c	233.18$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.26	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No	57c	230.99$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.64	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed No	60c	224.48$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.8	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	15c	221.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.87	528	50.8%268 W · 260 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	39c	217.69$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	45c	216$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.41	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No	58c	205.44$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.22	179	52.5%94 W · 85 L	-15.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	53c	204.54$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.27	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9169backed Yes	69c	192.07$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.72	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567f…94b9backed Yes	41c	185.59$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d82…9e66backed Yes	67c	163.26$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.65	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	76c	157.2$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.45	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	53c	153$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.09	311	52.4%163 W · 148 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32af…a7c3backed Yes	56c	151.64$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.17	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+285.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	53c	151$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.29	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Yes	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x858b…a2cebacked Yes	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.89	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked No	53c	149.98$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.49	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No	56c	148.65$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.16	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	40c	148.59$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.44	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	39c	145.65$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed No	34c	141.24$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.93	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	37c	137.69$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.55	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes	64c	127.5$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4308backed Yes	79c	127$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	56c	123.49$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.59	230	44.8%103 W · 127 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	50c	120.6$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.4	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes	42c	119.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No	55c	113.75$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.11	157	66.2%104 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	59c	102.62$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.36	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52dc…33c9backed Yes	39c	102.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	58c	101.21$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.88	146	56.2%82 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed No	57c	101$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed No	60c	100.64$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.26	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3773…f0ddbacked No	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.7	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…171fbacked Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb1…6644backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb286…aac7backed No	58c	99.98$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed No	42c	98.64$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	55c	98.58$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.85	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	53c	97.51$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.64	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…372abacked Yes	65c	95.79$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.35	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…828ebacked No	34c	95.5$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.32	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	34c	88.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.49	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	45c	86.21$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18ae…314cbacked No	66c	78.69$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.59	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733c…c0a7backed No	57c	75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes	38c	74.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…df91backed Yes	46c	71.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e2…2909backed Yes	46c	71.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	181	58%105 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes	49c	70.36$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Yes	62c	70.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	55c	70$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.6	144	67.4%97 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	42c	69.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.09	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c3…92fcbacked No	43c	69.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.68	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes	41c	69.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	61c	67.06$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa054…a95dbacked Yes	67c	66.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes	44c	65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2797…9bc0backed No	46c	63.55$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.55	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27a0…cecdbacked Yes	39c	62.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	35c	61$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.92	164	50.6%83 W · 81 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	59c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	187	62.6%117 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6606…0195backed Yes	41c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5a…3a18backed Yes	40c	59.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…eb02backed Yes	47c	58.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	37c	57.15$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.19	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes	53c	56.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8383…cb59backed No	26c	55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.55	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	59c	54.18$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes	43c	53.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	38c	52.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.89	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes	43c	51.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef4…de94backed Yes	75c	51.49$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	38c	50.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.48	147	53.7%79 W · 68 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbc…bd73backed No	59c	50.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.54	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 24?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 24?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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