Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LYON vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f9797e87871b246e89888a2b543bb16807fde3f808ff197cceb0aa04e6aab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Chivas Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,664 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chivas Esports | 14c | 1,750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Chivas Esports | 14c | 888$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Chivas Esports | 11c | 583.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Chivas Esports | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Chivas Esports | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chivas Esports | 14c | 172.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Chivas Esports | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Chivas Esports | 13c | 162$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aeb…cd01backed Chivas Esports | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…a28abacked Chivas Esports | 11c | 110.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Chivas Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Chivas Esports | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Chivas Esports | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Chivas Esports | 18c | 64.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Chivas Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.