Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4a5edaa1edb226da35a3664c002be8e03c4a00986fb57a4854373be0c09814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 22c | 674.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.49 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 46c | 614.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 45c | 508.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 474.6$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 57c | 474.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 431.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 410.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 75c | 408.29$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 330.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 76c | 322.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 8c | 311.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 275.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 42c | 273.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed No | 9c | 269.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed No | 66c | 252.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 30c | 238.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 34c | 229.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 33c | 201.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 199.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 79c | 197.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 46c | 195.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 186.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 182.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 180.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 63c | 177.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 175.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 27c | 154.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 16c | 140.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 57c | 134.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 26c | 131.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 130.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 30c | 126.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 23c | 125.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 119.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 118.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 68c | 117.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 17c | 116.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 61c | 110.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 110.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 105.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 46c | 104.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e91ebacked Yes | 77c | 102.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 65c | 97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 93.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 43c | 92.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 58c | 92.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 90.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 90.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 27c | 89.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 36c | 89.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 64c | 88.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 35c | 83.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 67c | 82.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 82.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked No | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…1b55backed Yes | 42c | 74.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 269 | 33.1%89 W · 180 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 17c | 70.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 65.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 31c | 65.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 78c | 64.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 68c | 62.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 77c | 59.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 69c | 57.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 23c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked No | 58c | 52.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…0e38backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 42c | 47.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 62c | 46.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 46.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…518dbacked Yes | 28c | 46.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 72c | 46.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 43.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 62c | 43.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 54c | 40.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 40.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 79c | 40.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.