Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2286c8eba018a2629bcc4074beda8401be1381a1992ee5b61b773291f29e85f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 677.43$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 474.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 41c | 354.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 43c | 304.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 269.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 251.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 226.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 33c | 201.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 42c | 199$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 195.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 194.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 190.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 16c | 189.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 54c | 189.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 12c | 179.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 166.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 42c | 157.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 42c | 155.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 155.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 137.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 11c | 137.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 13c | 135.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 126.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 45c | 123.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 25c | 120.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 68c | 120.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 58c | 118.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 68c | 107.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 105.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 105.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 100.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 95.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 59c | 89.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 86.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 64c | 85.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 42c | 84.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 84.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 83.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 44c | 82.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 17c | 79.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 15c | 78.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 76.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 57c | 74.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 72.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…ec99backed Yes | 37c | 66.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 66.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 38c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 59.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 57.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 30c | 55.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 55.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 54.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 47c | 51.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 56c | 50.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 45c | 50.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 48.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abb…fd95backed Yes | 42c | 48.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 59c | 45.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 29c | 45.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 45.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 45c | 44.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 33c | 42.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…74b1backed Yes | 37c | 40.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…e17fbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…bb96backed No | 58c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 49c | 35.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 42c | 33.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 59c | 32.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…ea97backed No | 58c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 31.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 77c | 30.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…bfd3backed No | 56c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…1986backed Yes | 43c | 29.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 79c | 29.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.