Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f4713c62b7afd05bf5589f1b72896bb695889fc33c0cbc7c8a6674220202390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Yandex | 47c | 19,808$9,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.5 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Yandex | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Team Yandex | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 8,017$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.39 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…7486backed Team Yandex | 0c | 6,012$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Liquid | 53c | 5,698$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.77 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 4,752$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 45c | 4,630$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 43c | 3,939$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.84 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,837$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.73 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Liquid | 56c | 3,587$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.3 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 3,525$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.28 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 39c | 3,485$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.57 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 3,341$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.8 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,716$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.47 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 2,684$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.39 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 19c | 2,638$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.16 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,401$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,015$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.38 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,934$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,894$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex | 47c | 1,802$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.04 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,382$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.3 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,266$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.95 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,079$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Team Liquid | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Liquid | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.33 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 978.84$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.47 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Liquid | 38c | 966.17$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.94 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…f1bcbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 943.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex | 41c | 916.18$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.55 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex | 6c | 868$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 58c | 854.28$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.39 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 826.99$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Yandex | 33c | 800$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 59c | 796.85$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.66 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Team Yandex | 68c | 761.46$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 700$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 58c | 699.96$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 689.84$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 57c | 688.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex | 15c | 613.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Team Yandex | 3c | 579.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 546.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.56 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Yandex | 44c | 500.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 56c | 500.68$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Team Yandex | 46c | 472.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 472.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Yandex | 77c | 466.93$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.85 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Yandex | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 36c | 387.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Yandex | 70c | 353.41$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…546cbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 347.59$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex | 74c | 337.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 336.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 332.63$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…ea0fbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 324.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Team Liquid | 56c | 296.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Liquid | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 286.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 285$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 278.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Team Yandex | 41c | 241.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Liquid | 28c | 230$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Team Yandex | 76c | 219.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Team Liquid | 56c | 214.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 208.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Yandex | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 202.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Team Yandex | 64c | 200.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 199.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 188.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Liquid | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 155.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Yandex | 75c | 152.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Yandex | 7c | 150.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Yandex | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Team Yandex | 19c | 143.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 134.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Yandex | 77c | 129.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 129.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 126.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 40c | 125.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Liquid | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Team Yandex | 34c | 117.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Liquid | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Team Yandex | 47c | 106.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex | 73c | 106.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…5c25backed Team Liquid | 40c | 100.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 98.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Team Liquid | 31c | 95.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.