CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5362eadeecaf94f83d81193259965e405d2a4268ce98f2836804d5882f3ebfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked G2 | 50c | 80,000$39,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000.54 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked paiN | 50c | 54,356$27,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,178.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked paiN | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN | 51c | 13,206$6,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.41 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked G2 | 49c | 10,005$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.65 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed paiN | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked G2 | 51c | 5,901$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.54 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked G2 | 52c | 4,675$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.41 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed G2 | 50c | 2,003$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed G2 | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN | 50c | 1,947$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.11 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked G2 | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed G2 | 51c | 1,627$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed paiN | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed G2 | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.5 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed G2 | 51c | 669.06$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed G2 | 51c | 610.21$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…1f7ebacked G2 | 50c | 564$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed paiN | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 50c | 504.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked paiN | 52c | 428.09$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked G2 | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed G2 | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed paiN | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN | 51c | 158$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed paiN | 52c | 130.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed G2 | 50c | 106.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked G2 | 50c | 100.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed paiN | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed G2 | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked G2 | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked G2 | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed G2 | 51c | 65.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked G2 | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked paiN | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed paiN | 51c | 54.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked G2 | 51c | 46.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed G2 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…9539backed G2 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed G2 | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed paiN | 52c | 39.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed G2 | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed paiN | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed G2 | 51c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…0d27backed G2 | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed paiN | 54c | 27.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed G2 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed paiN | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked G2 | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.