World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736232f0630210d08a24e6d3f4d137f6015e1bacd25ea1efce44940a9ad41526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 9c | 1,580$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 26c | 993$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.47 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 711.9$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.88 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 629.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 73c | 535.8$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 416.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed No | 9c | 395.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 40c | 365.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 18c | 296.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 287.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 59c | 286.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 279.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 272.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Yes | 55c | 249.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…6e25backed No | 60c | 245.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 16c | 231.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed No | 17c | 207.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 16c | 203.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 37c | 196.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 41c | 186.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 7c | 174.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 74c | 166.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 45c | 164.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 161.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 54c | 160$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 44c | 145.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 44c | 143.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 12c | 136.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 24c | 136.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 132.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 18c | 130.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked No | 21c | 129.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 28c | 125.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 124.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 44c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 77c | 119.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 118.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 66c | 116.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 30c | 113.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 111.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…e2aebacked Yes | 17c | 109.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 70c | 109.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 108.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed No | 10c | 106.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 26c | 105.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked No | 26c | 103.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 102.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 66c | 99.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 98.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 78c | 95.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 28c | 89.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 59c | 88.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5b…7676backed Yes | 35c | 88.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +296.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 68c | 87.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 40c | 85.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 40c | 82.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 20c | 82.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 33c | 81.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 66c | 80.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 48c | 79.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 25c | 78.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 17c | 74.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 41c | 70.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 32c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…4c39backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 59c | 67.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 38c | 63.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…b617backed Yes | 33c | 62.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 77c | 61.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 36c | 60.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…c045backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…24a7backed Yes | 60c | 59.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 28c | 57.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 78c | 56.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ec…ec9bbacked No | 65c | 55.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 56c | 54.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked Yes | 26c | 51.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 20c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 46.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 26c | 46.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed No | 75c | 46.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 77c | 44.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 44.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 80c | 42.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 50c | 42.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 46c | 40.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.