Bundesliga · resolved market
Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d676e44dbc40f8f8dc8371f748654057464a93b8ad5267dbdccdd21057cade6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 20,652$10,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,913.35 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 48c | 20,599$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,887.59 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 5,678$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 5,003$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 41c | 2,780$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.49 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 989.91$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 983.69$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 721.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 60c | 706$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 661.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 52c | 564.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 72c | 332.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 256.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 40c | 194.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 59c | 151.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 59c | 121.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 55c | 112.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 65c | 100.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 52c | 93.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 47c | 92.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 54c | 56.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 45c | 51.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 40c | 50.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 48.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 44.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 43.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…dd80backed Under | 70c | 42.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 34.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…e3c4backed Under | 41c | 33.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…1c47backed Over | 60c | 29.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 40c | 28.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…1138backed Under | 41c | 25.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 68c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…e9d0backed Over | 61c | 23.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…a618backed Over | 61c | 16.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5this page
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Hannover 96 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Hannover 96 won
- Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.