Bundesliga · resolved market
Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa333759666a486041dd6443d2c7aa18572c3324e01b695f0068113d25d15205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,383 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.02 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,733$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 2,114$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.38 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,281$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 52c | 1,027$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 52c | 508.82$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 23c | 290.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 43c | 130.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 53c | 127.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 112.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 81.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 76.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 70c | 67.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 65.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 19c | 64.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 17c | 64.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 55c | 60.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 27c | 53.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 25c | 47.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 70c | 31.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…6735backed Over | 80c | 28.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 24.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 21.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 65c | 19.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 79c | 16.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5this page
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Hannover 96 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Hannover 96 won
- Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.