CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4d6f9e5b39c8aaf57fd202010035da7510f1ac92b0c87237ff6497bd91cdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed K27 | 76c | 9,580$7,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.81 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 23c | 4,454$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed G2 Ares | 25c | 1,713$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 18c | 1,620$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed G2 Ares | 17c | 1,203$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 15c | 1,200$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 Ares | 22c | 1,069$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 Ares | 23c | 1,060$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Ares | 19c | 830.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 78c | 603.16$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed G2 Ares | 17c | 463.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 19c | 442.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked G2 Ares | 8c | 393$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 371$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…8200backed G2 Ares | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed G2 Ares | 25c | 308$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 16c | 300.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed G2 Ares | 20c | 246.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed G2 Ares | 26c | 226$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 Ares | 18c | 201.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed G2 Ares | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed G2 Ares | 18c | 159.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 159.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked G2 Ares | 10c | 154.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Ares | 14c | 152.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed G2 Ares | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Ares | 16c | 142.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Ares | 12c | 139.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed G2 Ares | 13c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked K27 | 78c | 127.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked G2 Ares | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked G2 Ares | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed G2 Ares | 25c | 123.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Ares | 10c | 119.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 105.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed G2 Ares | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked G2 Ares | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed G2 Ares | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed K27 | 79c | 94.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…a847backed G2 Ares | 12c | 92.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Ares | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed G2 Ares | 14c | 86.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked G2 Ares | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked K27 | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed G2 Ares | 19c | 72.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed G2 Ares | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed G2 Ares | 19c | 69.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed K27 | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 Ares | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…2c11backed K27 | 80c | 55.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked K27 | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed G2 Ares | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed K27 | 73c | 35.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 79c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked K27 | 80c | 24.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed K27 | 79c | 21.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked K27 | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed K27 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed K27 | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed K27 | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.