CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c04d5ca83390f50405214449197bb8124416c8ccb4b332207efaaa9fd0ae2c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof K27, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,867 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2de6…e187backed K27 | 2c | 679.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 46c | 572.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 33c | 330.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…520abacked K27 | 68c | 310.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed K27 | 71c | 254.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked K27 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed K27 | 26c | 97.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked G2 Ares | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 76.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 72.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…8182backed K27 | 65c | 39.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6b17backed G2 Ares | 75c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked K27 | 68c | 15.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.