Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475193a9d67a78470f7c83679cbfc8d84dc712b636c6e8672233f42555260da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 29,822$14,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,778.5 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 12,110$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.1 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 11,982$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…5e43backed Over | 52c | 3,845$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…069fbacked Under | 48c | 3,812$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 3,224$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 52c | 3,031$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.18 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,990$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Over | 48c | 713.61$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 50c | 610.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 52c | 293.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 246.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 52c | 163.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 50c | 149.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 131.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 131.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 81.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Over | 50c | 74.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 64.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 62.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 39.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 48c | 32.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Under | 53c | 25.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 48c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 48c | 20.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State RamsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 130.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 131.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 133.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.