Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b63ed2bb2350e9344940ad4c2649ca11c00ff10db6425e797f3d07f9aaf74d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Colorado State Rams, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 32,914$17,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,070.14 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 10,532$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 8,687$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Colorado State Rams | 45c | 8,006$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 5,730$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.65 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 3,415$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 2,801$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.45 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 2,503$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.33 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 2,474$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.64 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 1,485$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 1,111$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 699.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 689.6$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 539.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 405.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 370.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…bab8backed Colorado State Rams | 29c | 299.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 253.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 184.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 170.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 155.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 137.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 97.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 97.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 92.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 91.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 63.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Colorado State Rams | 50c | 59.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 57.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Colorado State Rams | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 37.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 37.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 33.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 33.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 32.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State RamsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 130.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 131.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 133.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.