Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0fd3013e520ae264030ae87aff0f6406e7e18b7318b6f5850c40ac4acf9fb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Colorado State Rams, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,405 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 5,865$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.09 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 50c | 4,570$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Colorado State Rams | 6c | 1,687$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 1,590$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.75 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 1,141$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado State Rams | 54c | 977.16$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.67 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 581.88$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.08 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 462.79$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams | 51c | 460.2$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 402.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 364.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 213.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Colorado State Rams | 37c | 195.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 138.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 99.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 88.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 78.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 73.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colorado State Rams | 29c | 69.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 57.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 54.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 42.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 75c | 38.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 37.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 46c | 22.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 19.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State RamsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 130.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 131.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 133.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.