Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9a7b5428f66f602c7dc8c62c06ddb14b58cb0349d2063cf8dac2140e62c0a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 24,994$11,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.55 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 14,553$7,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 13,291$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.79 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 0c | 11,648$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 10,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 2c | 5,010$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,527$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 994.97$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 54c | 954.9$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 877.12$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 873.85$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 36c | 759.03$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.25 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 47c | 587.83$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 46c | 479.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 48c | 382.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 364.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 302.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 151$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 46c | 137.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 48c | 135.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 48c | 131.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 48c | 110.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 54c | 91.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 76.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Over | 48c | 74.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 69.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 47c | 41.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Over | 47c | 40.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 64c | 38.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 52c | 37.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 48c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Under | 68c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Over | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State RamsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 130.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 131.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 133.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-5.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.