TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wichita State Shockers vs. East Carolina Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wichita State Shockersof Wichita State Shockers, East Carolina Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers27c5,235$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wichita State Shockers73c4,671$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.0434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed East Carolina Pirates71c3,738$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.871,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked East Carolina Pirates74c2,456$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.111,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Wichita State Shockers43c2,100$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.8125325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8238backed Wichita State Shockers73c1,750$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Wichita State Shockers3c1,688$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.4324121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wichita State Shockers49c1,492$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked East Carolina Pirates28c1,431$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.131,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed East Carolina Pirates70c1,410$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.221,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc8…e675backed East Carolina Pirates27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked East Carolina Pirates37c1,240$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.81,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed East Carolina Pirates36c1,200$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.832,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed East Carolina Pirates38c1,045$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed East Carolina Pirates24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wichita State Shockers22c866$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.592,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wichita State Shockers76c754$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.961,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked East Carolina Pirates79c694.59$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.721,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Wichita State Shockers76c644.89$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6737947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b56…b99abacked East Carolina Pirates79c635.11$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers46c590.12$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Wichita State Shockers44c584.48$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina Pirates27c571.58$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.162,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates23c510.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8483…2c50backed East Carolina Pirates27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed East Carolina Pirates9c444$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed East Carolina Pirates32c375$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed East Carolina Pirates23c355$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.658333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed East Carolina Pirates65c348.36$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.342,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wichita State Shockers77c348$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.361,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Wichita State Shockers45c310.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Wichita State Shockers35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Wichita State Shockers34c286$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7212540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina Pirates56c285.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.544,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Wichita State Shockers41c242.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Carolina Pirates68c231.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.351,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Wichita State Shockers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked East Carolina Pirates24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wichita State Shockers77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Wichita State Shockers77c193.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4810437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked East Carolina Pirates26c164.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.742,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed East Carolina Pirates59c160.16$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.441,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked East Carolina Pirates23c153.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.475,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked East Carolina Pirates22c149.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.02707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked East Carolina Pirates68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed East Carolina Pirates60c131.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.062,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wichita State Shockers74c129$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wichita State Shockers78c129$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.771,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b7…21e1backed Wichita State Shockers75c128.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Wichita State Shockers77c128.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.611747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed East Carolina Pirates67c120.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wichita State Shockers76c111.43$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8505…a179backed Wichita State Shockers74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa908…58f1backed Wichita State Shockers74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c67…1125backed Wichita State Shockers74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…0e85backed Wichita State Shockers74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bd…849ebacked Wichita State Shockers74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Wichita State Shockers20c89.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.941833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wichita State Shockers20c82.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.251,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked East Carolina Pirates23c81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9261244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a5…2589backed Wichita State Shockers77c79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed East Carolina Pirates67c75.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.862,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Wichita State Shockers77c73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Wichita State Shockers78c70.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5123363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed East Carolina Pirates53c70.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1853635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Wichita State Shockers77c60.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.930054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed East Carolina Pirates24c60.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed East Carolina Pirates25c57.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked East Carolina Pirates25c56.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Wichita State Shockers36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.566619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd1d…fb83backed Wichita State Shockers29c52.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed East Carolina Pirates22c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Wichita State Shockers76c47.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Wichita State Shockers46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Wichita State Shockers75c41.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Wichita State Shockers57c39.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.975453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed East Carolina Pirates52c36.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.917663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Wichita State Shockers77c33.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.620248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Wichita State Shockers30c33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed East Carolina Pirates74c32.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xad5b…d645backed Wichita State Shockers52c30.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.572259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed Wichita State Shockers76c28.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.772360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…3c77backed Wichita State Shockers77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+46%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed Wichita State Shockers43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Wichita State Shockers58c21.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wichita State Shockers77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Wichita State Shockers77c16.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8314171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x446c…46b1backed Wichita State Shockers78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460e…7a49backed Wichita State Shockers77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.