Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Princeton Tigers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6402fd4ced82933d7deea8b276a8226bf1bb21c5fee7b6b05b4c1b737db6a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma State Cowboysof Princeton Tigers, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Princeton Tigers | 11c | 4,886$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.29 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Princeton Tigers | 13c | 4,501$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Princeton Tigers | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Princeton Tigers | 23c | 744.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Princeton Tigers | 13c | 559.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Princeton Tigers | 12c | 527.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Princeton Tigers | 11c | 356.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…09bdbacked Princeton Tigers | 34c | 351.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 285.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Princeton Tigers | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 65c | 248.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 239.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 166.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Princeton Tigers | 13c | 151.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Princeton Tigers | 35c | 143.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 69c | 122$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 101.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Princeton Tigers | 29c | 89.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Princeton Tigers | 14c | 88.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 82.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Princeton Tigers | 30c | 72.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 79c | 62.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Princeton Tigers | 31c | 61.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Princeton Tigers | 21c | 52.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Princeton Tigers | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 73c | 40.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 69c | 40.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Princeton Tigers | 27c | 40.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Princeton Tigers | 30c | 38.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.