Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec62cdb96456348dcaf7a584ff1544b0456c09b1e1f6766ea3e1ec8430a01286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 25,827$16,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,674.37 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 34c | 13,772$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,141.86 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 65c | 6,422$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 37c | 5,555$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.2 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 38c | 4,823$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 4,773$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.24 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 35c | 4,346$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.37 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,714$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.44 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,409$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.05 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 2,022$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.09 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 4c | 1,649$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,457$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,287$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.84 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 312.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 60c | 298.58$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Falcons | 46c | 291.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…d96bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 220$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Falcons | 32c | 209.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 43c | 202.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Falcons | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 67c | 159.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked MOUZ | 79c | 156.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed MOUZ | 38c | 131.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked MOUZ | 38c | 126.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 38c | 126$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MOUZ | 73c | 106.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Team Falcons | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 78c | 103.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Team Falcons | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed MOUZ | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 77c | 75.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 75.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed MOUZ | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Falcons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed MOUZ | 33c | 42.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Team Falcons | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…6c41backed Team Falcons | 43c | 38.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 37.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 31.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Falcons | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…3821backed MOUZ | 38c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 37c | 27.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 61c | 16.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.