Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5a3f7280acce1ff094722f7c16cdbe5aaa57bba4bfe261ca48ffe3b23cc4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 23,089$11,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,454.26 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 13,062$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 5,283$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.83 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 4,833$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 53c | 3,741$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,577$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.63 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,528$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 53c | 999.94$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 616.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 50c | 505.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 54c | 495.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 47c | 398.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 235.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 158.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 127.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 119.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Over | 52c | 118.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 104.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 49c | 100.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 54c | 91.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 72c | 83.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 58.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 45.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…5a81backed Over | 30c | 42.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…9657backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…5526backed Over | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 51c | 20.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 141.5this page
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersPrairie View A&M Panthers won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 128.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-2.5)Prairie View A&M Panthers won
- Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)Prairie View A&M Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.