TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 143.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,164 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Under59c21,614$12,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,926.094746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over41c7,882$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.4889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over42c5,637$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.4533438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c4,365$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.874,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over28c3,937$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9414940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over49c3,778$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under72c3,237$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.429839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58021636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over40c1,768$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.732860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7356246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under62c1,272$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.4918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c1,254$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2b…31f8backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49014447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under51c972.54$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c2…09b0backed Under51c972.54$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c864.76$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Over48c754.28$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Over48c754.28$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.052330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over39c668.49$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.422,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c626.83$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.651,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Under51c590.7$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4444452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under52c570.97$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0663551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x145e…bb39backed Over10c474.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over41c435.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.485757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over41c396.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under59c384.25$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.726642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under53c332.79$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c313.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14127947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over47c295.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over40c292.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0123754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over42c278.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.681,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under57c268.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5310458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under54c243.07$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4510252%53 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf982…273cbacked Under70c236.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over42c198.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.121,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97dc…f686backed Under52c190.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked Over49c182.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ea…1008backed Over49c176.01$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over47c173.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1b…1e1bbacked Under52c170.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.865100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x979a…546bbacked Under52c166$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a0…33e9backed Over49c162.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under64c154.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.093,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa89…0b05backed Over49c150.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…1f0cbacked Under52c143.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ffd…41d1backed Under58c129.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under56c123.69$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4330054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over42c121.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.997258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over33c120.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.297745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under56c115.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9214245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over43c104.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8262451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over27c93.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Under52c88.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Over48c85.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over42c84.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4517551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under55c77.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.830152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2440849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under71c59.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5710755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over33c59.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over47c58.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.778350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over45c58.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.231957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over31c55.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4957655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over36c55.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.844047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under57c53.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.026963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over41c48.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9919147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Under71c41.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under54c39.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c37.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under72c35.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9311456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under57c34.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0133058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b4e…e44abacked Under52c34.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under57c29.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6935338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over48c27.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.186149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over48c26.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.899952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Over43c24.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over42c24.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.185954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91b2…4c8cbacked Under52c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.554100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab00…a1f5backed Over49c24.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under58c19.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.025757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed Under58c18.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.882352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under74c13.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5914049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.