Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec71b9e19b7052cbd4f3701bf6689dc6c69d48525176a11ca0756ad19542c43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 16c | 2,097$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.87 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 68c | 1,719$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.79 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…6e25backed No | 23c | 1,378$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 8c | 1,334$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 22c | 1,223$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…5b95backed Yes | 25c | 952.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.72 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 32c | 900.13$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 6c | 844.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 822.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.24 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 800.56$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 8c | 686.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 673.54$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.59 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked Yes | 68c | 660.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 607.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…e166backed No | 41c | 521.63$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 17c | 506$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 76c | 500$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…d8dbbacked No | 19c | 496.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…8a18backed No | 18c | 495.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 493.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…a4febacked No | 19c | 481$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 474$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 66c | 471.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 71c | 448.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 67c | 426.1$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.54 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 41c | 416.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 404.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 75c | 388.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 9c | 357$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.59 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed No | 75c | 321.29$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 19c | 310.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked Yes | 20c | 307.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 68c | 298.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed No | 9c | 280.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 5c | 272.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 260$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 71c | 244.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 18c | 228.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 40c | 223.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 35c | 221.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 18c | 218.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 214$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 208.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…82bdbacked Yes | 10c | 207.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 56c | 207$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…b542backed No | 23c | 204.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8843…d4c5backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…f85dbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 76c | 196.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 15c | 194.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 389 | 30.3%118 W · 271 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…da2cbacked No | 11c | 191.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 80c | 184.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 66c | 182.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 18c | 181.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 37c | 168.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…89e6backed Yes | 72c | 168.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed No | 27c | 167.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…4b79backed Yes | 60c | 167.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…3cf9backed Yes | 14c | 162.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Yes | 10c | 161.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 230 | 30.9%71 W · 159 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 76c | 155.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 79c | 145.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 76c | 140.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 9c | 137.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 136.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 20c | 132.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 73c | 124.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 38c | 112.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 111.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…c9a7backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 410 | 33.7%138 W · 272 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…7f29backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 154 | 37.7%58 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 80c | 109.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 55c | 105.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed No | 50c | 102.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 440 | 58.2%256 W · 184 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…0ccdbacked Yes | 13c | 96.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 18c | 95.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked Yes | 73c | 95.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 43c | 93.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 45c | 93.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…55a0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 15c | 90.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 15c | 89.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…7e71backed Yes | 22c | 89.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 15c | 84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b102backed No | 68c | 81.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 80.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 77.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 71c | 77.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 18c | 75.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.