Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67204a117c656b094c1d2ba3f20ebac29cba7ee4fe8b307e7028dd62a2d0e4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 7,011$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 6c | 862.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 2c | 709.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 4c | 632.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 6c | 601.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 472.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 452.27$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 10c | 413.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 412.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 381.74$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 29c | 378.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 74c | 357.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 25c | 321.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 312.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 18c | 275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 269.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…49e2backed No | 78c | 248.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 236.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 77c | 227.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 206.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 25c | 201.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 26c | 188.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 180.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 22c | 178.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…35debacked Yes | 15c | 175.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 70c | 170.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…b6d3backed Yes | 30c | 165.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 31c | 158.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 19c | 151.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 139.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 30c | 136.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 17c | 116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 30c | 109.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…86cbbacked No | 67c | 102.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 29c | 101.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 96.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 30c | 90.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 88.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 76c | 78.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…c3debacked Yes | 21c | 73.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -18.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 36c | 70.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 70.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 31c | 65.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 64.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Yes | 38c | 64.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 32c | 62.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 29c | 61.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 67c | 55.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 25c | 54.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed Yes | 27c | 50.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 23c | 50.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 50.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 21c | 49.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 26c | 48.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 48.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 72c | 41.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked No | 77c | 41.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 38.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c1…8c40backed Yes | 27c | 37.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…5891backed No | 72c | 33.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 64c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 73c | 30.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…2e9cbacked No | 73c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…bfa8backed Yes | 37c | 28.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…65cfbacked No | 71c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa915…879dbacked No | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 70c | 23.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901e…7389backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 80c | 19.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 70c | 19.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…eab4backed No | 80c | 17.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 78c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 70c | 15.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…ec06backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.