Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1f0e03f9fdcf14b22dd619bc9fdf8093964ff9d929b4178d0a8b43019de6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 3c | 6,666$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,549$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,389$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 19c | 981.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 650$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 640.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 4c | 590$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…49e2backed Yes | 45c | 581.87$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 34c | 514.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 27c | 468$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 15c | 329.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 296.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…06c2backed Yes | 30c | 280.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 19c | 265.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 45c | 261.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…47b3backed Yes | 19c | 256.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 72c | 253.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 245.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 244.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 228.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 213.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…8d25backed Yes | 9c | 187.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Yes | 53c | 184.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 17c | 174.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed No | 55c | 171.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 63c | 166.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 66c | 161.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 14c | 160.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…bd14backed Yes | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 67c | 147.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 25c | 144.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 22c | 130.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 130.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 49c | 124.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 15c | 113.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed Yes | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 14c | 112.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 112.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 19c | 106.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 50c | 102.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 10c | 102.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 101.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…86cbbacked Yes | 44c | 97.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…6df4backed Yes | 13c | 97.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 13c | 87.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed No | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 14c | 76.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 40c | 73.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked Yes | 18c | 70.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 30c | 68.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked Yes | 54c | 61.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 58.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 26c | 55.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d485backed Yes | 51c | 51.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…ad17backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 49.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 58c | 48.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes | 22c | 44.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 24c | 41.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 40c | 33.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 54c | 32.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 42c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked No | 68c | 30.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…d3b4backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…b420backed Yes | 54c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…80aabacked No | 55c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c1…8c40backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.