Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26a39297cd2cfa4577b7c237900ca7c8e4b4ec88b5d38a0331f5d11497bba1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,765$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,700$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.29 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 18c | 1,493$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked No | 78c | 1,199$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 599.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 588.89$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 9c | 579.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 25c | 560.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 537.55$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 5c | 517.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 480.52$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 65c | 473.11$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.09 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 68c | 470.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 10c | 470.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 61c | 437.92$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 35c | 431.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 26c | 420.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 42c | 418.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 59c | 326.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 15c | 320.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 309.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 25c | 289.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 283.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No | 75c | 278.74$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 73c | 259$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 16c | 253.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed Yes | 14c | 251.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 21c | 250.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 239.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 226.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…a8f9backed Yes | 13c | 222.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 45c | 221.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 66c | 213.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 211.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 28c | 208.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 57c | 207.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 29c | 201.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 59c | 198.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 29c | 189.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 50c | 177.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 170.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 79c | 162.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 160.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…3eabbacked Yes | 14c | 159.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 157.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 19c | 157.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…7104backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked No | 75c | 143.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 65c | 142.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 54c | 140.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…06f8backed Yes | 24c | 140.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 136.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed No | 74c | 134.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 51c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 25c | 119.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 21c | 113.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 50c | 107.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 26c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 19c | 105.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 23c | 102.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 102.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…f387backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…76d5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…df90backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 76c | 96.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 29c | 86.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 76c | 84.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…3bb3backed Yes | 49c | 81.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…ef46backed Yes | 63c | 79.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…925ebacked Yes | 29c | 79.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…e487backed Yes | 26c | 77.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 55c | 73.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…06cebacked Yes | 30c | 69.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…08febacked No | 74c | 67.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 29c | 67.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…2b48backed Yes | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 24c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 75c | 61.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…5115backed Yes | 20c | 60.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.