Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd7744087c0d6b9c0942764fc63a189f9e6bda60dd2fc651c6a9bd5906a6458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,279$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.84 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 3c | 650$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 571.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 22c | 474.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 22c | 460.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 23c | 435.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 78c | 385.12$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 315.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 288.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 282.17$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 278.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 76c | 269.12$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 77c | 258.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 23c | 257.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 77c | 249.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…952cbacked Yes | 21c | 234.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 19c | 233.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 26c | 227.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 220.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 13c | 212.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 210.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 15c | 180.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…139ebacked No | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 29c | 162.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 18c | 160.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 79c | 158.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 77c | 150.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 76c | 144$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 79c | 143.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 137.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 78c | 132.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…017ebacked No | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 19c | 125.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 23c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 123.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 21c | 116.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 114.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 20c | 110.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 22c | 107.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 12c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 28c | 104.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…7904backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 25c | 98.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed Yes | 20c | 95.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1211…b173backed Yes | 15c | 94.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 24c | 91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 88.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 78c | 87.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…29a5backed Yes | 24c | 83.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 75c | 82.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…c794backed Yes | 18c | 81.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 22c | 81.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked Yes | 18c | 80.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 79.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 19c | 78.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 21c | 77.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 77c | 76.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 17c | 68.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 19c | 68.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 21c | 67.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 65.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Yes | 20c | 62.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 62.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 18c | 61.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 21c | 58.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…06f8backed Yes | 24c | 56.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…e5bfbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 79c | 49.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 23c | 48.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…06cebacked Yes | 22c | 47.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 78c | 45.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 74c | 37.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.