Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8c3a0a1b754fd5d26bb629c238d36a3ac6da62d98ea67d8755b3a3a0bebefb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 3c | 3,600$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 9c | 1,748$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 15c | 1,464$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,190$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 34c | 1,153$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.87 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 66c | 1,057$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.79 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…4fd0backed No | 74c | 861.99$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.85 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 828.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 53c | 654.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…e330backed Yes | 49c | 586.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 44c | 483.95$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 50c | 473.86$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…d953backed No | 73c | 464.22$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.58 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed No | 45c | 447.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 38c | 430.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 414.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed No | 5c | 399.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 397.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 46c | 396.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 61c | 392.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 55c | 387.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 387.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed No | 9c | 378.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed Yes | 53c | 378$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 48c | 358.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 58c | 343.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 40c | 321.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 43c | 319.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 34c | 314.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 30c | 301.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 278$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 37c | 276.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 56c | 270.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 46c | 262.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 75c | 258.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 258.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 249$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 54c | 246.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 21c | 241.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 48c | 239.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 6c | 225.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…0377backed No | 5c | 220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 56c | 213.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 57c | 212.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 203.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 47c | 202.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 42c | 202.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 42c | 201.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…70a3backed No | 49c | 194.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 6c | 194.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 53c | 190$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 53c | 187.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 48c | 179.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed No | 56c | 178.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 176.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 50c | 168.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 167.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 53c | 164.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 57c | 159.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 46c | 157.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 34c | 156.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 45c | 154.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 145.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 44c | 143.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…4a9cbacked Yes | 56c | 137.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…06f8backed Yes | 51c | 133.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 133.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…f7a7backed Yes | 53c | 132.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed No | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 56c | 124.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…017ebacked Yes | 56c | 124.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 16c | 123.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 44c | 114.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…6c4abacked Yes | 42c | 107.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 35c | 105.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 105.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 55c | 105.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 58c | 103.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 54c | 101.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 35c | 101.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…7904backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 64c | 97.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 42c | 95.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 40c | 95.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…06e1backed No | 57c | 95.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 55c | 93.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 56c | 93.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 52c | 93.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.