TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Raptors, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Spurs54c25,000$13,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5502369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors35c22,060$7,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,782.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50029738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs53c6,412$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.871,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Raptors35c4,867$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Raptors39c4,755$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.7112938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Raptors4c3,447$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8810357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors9c2,772$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.461,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs11c2,658$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.9370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Spurs14c2,623$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.962941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8845…ae48backed Raptors36c1,874$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.691513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs64c1,580$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Spurs61c1,519$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.923554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Spurs64c1,511$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Raptors1c1,510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Raptors36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors1c1,402$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.375502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Raptors31c1,316$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs66c1,294$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Raptors50c1,292$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.5136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5295…d666backed Spurs19c1,040$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb678…f74dbacked Raptors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Spurs74c890.28$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.287864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Raptors11c800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.718518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Raptors50c722.06$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3314034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs65c613.58$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Spurs66c581.22$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6133348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Raptors14c532$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.361434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Spurs50c530$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5748046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Spurs72c526.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7913248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Spurs62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19030351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spurs10c468.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8311250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Raptors67c450.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors36c444$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.841,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Raptors53c437.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Raptors46c436.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc536…b4aebacked Raptors37c420$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83bd…148dbacked Spurs63c419.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3a…aad9backed Raptors37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Spurs52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19470153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Spurs49c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20629957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd126…267bbacked Spurs64c370$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3db…ff3abacked Raptors36c370$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Raptors57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…af6ebacked Raptors19c350$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.65318.9%10 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+80.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Spurs64c312.04$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs64c302.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.381,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Spurs76c300$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7325016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Raptors34c295.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raptors34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors67c241.4$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.411,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbeb…8b88backed Raptors37c239.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf360…6157backed Raptors35c226.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors35c222$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Spurs64c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.233746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Raptors33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Spurs50c199.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.79825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Raptors32c199.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1336751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed Spurs55c169.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1215045.3%68 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Spurs64c157.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors38c156.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Spurs25c144.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7412222.1%27 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0581…ea5bbacked Raptors35c144.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Raptors35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190f…2751backed Raptors36c140.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors36c133.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Spurs64c122.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.981464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…5741backed Spurs64c115$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf0…75b9backed Raptors36c115$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Raptors35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f9…9a98backed Spurs64c106$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c78…6e0bbacked Raptors36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Raptors18c105$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.915613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Spurs53c101.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab88…8a0cbacked Spurs64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Spurs56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Spurs52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Spurs53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4720443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eca…4bc9backed Raptors39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f4…0834backed Spurs65c98.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Raptors27c95.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0319419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Spurs14c93.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.663158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe7…78f7backed Spurs65c90.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be7…4049backed Spurs65c84.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9bb…3767backed Spurs66c83.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17b…1d31backed Raptors36c81.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac26…d79cbacked Spurs66c80.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb82…5de0backed Raptors36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f5…afcdbacked Spurs64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c52…215ebacked Raptors36c78.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b5…e4f0backed Raptors34c76.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36d…886dbacked Spurs64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab67…0ca5backed Raptors36c75.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1184…2391backed Raptors66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860b…f6e9backed Raptors37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9b…5590backed Spurs65c74.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.