CS2 · resolved market
PGL Bucharest: Falcons vs. FaZe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cbd54e271e0928fcb3a117b131ed73920dd4482be6c5da31f3c234168dbb177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd25d…eb15backed Falcons | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed FaZe | 58c | 630$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons | 38c | 584.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Falcons | 43c | 506.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FaZe | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed FaZe | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Falcons | 74c | 369.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked FaZe | 58c | 365$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked FaZe | 35c | 164.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…0941backed FaZe | 62c | 122.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked FaZe | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons | 41c | 37.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Falcons | 43c | 35.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed FaZe | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.