Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama vs. Duke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde113c3d45727f2675a0c1e7f42036fdd12e662764022b9c01a2c99a66f812f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Alabama, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Alabama | 26c | 182,041$48,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,070.77 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Alabama | 2c | 116,967$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…b635backed Alabama | 27c | 77,385$21,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,213.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Duke | 74c | 71,058$52,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,193.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Duke | 73c | 69,611$50,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,793.52 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Alabama | 18c | 62,245$11,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,438 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Alabama | 26c | 49,977$12,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,994.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Duke | 74c | 49,969$36,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,991.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Duke | 74c | 28,708$21,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Alabama | 12c | 21,214$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Duke | 73c | 19,701$14,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Alabama | 12c | 19,016$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Alabama | 10c | 18,209$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.31 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Alabama | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Alabama | 27c | 11,199$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.68 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Duke | 73c | 10,520$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Alabama | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke | 70c | 9,019$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.23 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Duke | 74c | 7,945$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.81 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Duke | 75c | 7,293$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.07 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Duke | 73c | 7,000$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Alabama | 13c | 6,858$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.4 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Alabama | 23c | 6,448$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Duke | 72c | 6,300$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Duke | 74c | 5,870$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.2 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Alabama | 22c | 5,507$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Duke | 74c | 5,402$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.27 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Duke | 73c | 5,336$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.03 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Alabama | 25c | 5,300$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.98 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Duke | 74c | 5,218$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Alabama | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Duke | 80c | 5,000$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Duke | 73c | 4,829$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.88 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Duke | 73c | 4,381$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.77 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Duke | 75c | 4,249$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.89 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Alabama | 10c | 3,783$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Alabama | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duke | 72c | 3,100$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Alabama | 26c | 3,035$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Alabama | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Alabama | 26c | 2,986$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Alabama | 3c | 2,940$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Duke | 74c | 2,711$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Alabama | 8c | 2,673$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Duke | 74c | 2,555$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.18 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Duke | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Duke | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Duke | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Alabama | 5c | 1,999$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Alabama | 15c | 1,936$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Duke | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke | 73c | 1,865$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Duke | 73c | 1,860$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Alabama | 27c | 1,859$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Duke | 73c | 1,773$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Duke | 74c | 1,750$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Duke | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Alabama | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Alabama | 26c | 1,696$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Alabama | 3c | 1,662$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Alabama | 27c | 1,647$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Alabama | 2c | 1,603$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Alabama | 26c | 1,543$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Duke | 74c | 1,421$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Alabama | 26c | 1,421$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Alabama | 28c | 1,355$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…64a1backed Alabama | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Duke | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Alabama | 27c | 1,299$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Alabama | 11c | 1,275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Alabama | 15c | 1,232$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Alabama | 6c | 1,216$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Duke | 74c | 1,155$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Duke | 80c | 1,100$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alabama | 11c | 1,027$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Alabama | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Alabama | 26c | 880$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Alabama | 24c | 841.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Duke | 74c | 811.89$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Duke | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Alabama | 27c | 770.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Duke | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Duke | 73c | 643.13$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Duke | 70c | 640$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Alabama | 17c | 639.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Alabama | 16c | 619.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Duke | 79c | 558.75$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Duke | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Alabama | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Duke | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Duke | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Alabama | 25c | 496.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Alabama | 26c | 480$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Duke | 75c | 406.11$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Alabama | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Alabama | 28c | 359.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Alabama | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…4da8backed Duke | 75c | 305.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Alabama | 14c | 282.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…dbddbacked Duke | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.