Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Miami Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1ea156dbad7bfbb55202b67c854844431d1221708353ca714703ca7a992a04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01fb…ae3ebacked No | 23c | 7,694$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 20c | 7,484$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 73c | 6,433$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.03 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 80c | 4,442$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked No | 22c | 1,927$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,900$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…ff11backed Yes | 79c | 1,262$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 39c | 1,185$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.36 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 993.5$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.56 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 71c | 876.24$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 77c | 717.38$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Yes | 78c | 647.96$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 76c | 543$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Yes | 61c | 493.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 20c | 431$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 61c | 401.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 78c | 396.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.18 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 79c | 380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 79c | 305$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 21c | 305$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 25c | 303.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 80c | 288.75$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 67c | 280$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Yes | 80c | 245$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Yes | 77c | 212$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 71c | 208.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes | 76c | 103$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +110%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 66c | 76.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…a853backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2273backed Yes | 65c | 61.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Yes | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…6e4fbacked Yes | 78c | 55.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 58c | 53.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked No | 38c | 50.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 23c | 47.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…af87backed Yes | 48c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…6415backed Yes | 78c | 20.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 68cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…f060backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…c427backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…2744backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…93a6backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbf…08afbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…c2debacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…b62ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…12d3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645b…893cbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c19…69cabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…92b3backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…7048backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…5386backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…a6cbbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…6a3cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…fe2ebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…df0abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef74…2878backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…3969backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…4487backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…499cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…0aefbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…472bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…4b37backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…2e0fbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 78c | 18.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…639cbacked Yes | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Miami Open?this page
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2025 Miami Open?Yes won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Miami Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.