NHL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d99f2c1110ac0e7513e1b5c85cdbd6354be48718deeb4ffda1e5901e249f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 45c | 199,245$90,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,066.3 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed No | 54c | 69,531$37,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,984.11 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 57c | 59,408$34,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,308.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 69c | 51,339$35,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,081.79 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 70c | 50,339$35,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,101.7 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…3e89backed Yes | 46c | 38,635$17,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,772.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…03e7backed No | 54c | 38,635$20,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,772.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…f30bbacked Yes | 38c | 31,227$11,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,866.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…9ecabacked No | 62c | 31,227$19,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,866.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4446backed No | 68c | 31,200$21,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2039backed Yes | 32c | 31,200$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 46c | 30,649$14,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,001.67 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 54c | 11,638$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.19 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 39c | 11,348$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 53c | 10,563$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.61 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 53c | 8,833$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.46 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 15c | 7,984$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.55 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 53c | 6,831$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.45 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Yes | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 59c | 4,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 4,291$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.78 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 57c | 1,988$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.93 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 9c | 1,818$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 67c | 1,810$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 36c | 1,501$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,468$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,280$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,228$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 26c | 1,039$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 12c | 485.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 3c | 423.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 36c | 344.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 308.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 47c | 224$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…abd8backed Yes | 9c | 168.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…aa01backed Yes | 9c | 135$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed No | 74c | 117.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…cc2bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 14c | 85.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 29c | 78.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 50c | 78.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…5eddbacked Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 69c | 45.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…52afbacked No | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 75c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 59c | 22.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…6c89backed No | 68c | 19.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…b997backed No | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?this page
- Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?Yes won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens be Eastern Conference champions?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils be Eastern Conference champions?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators be Eastern Conference champions?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be Eastern Conference champions?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be Eastern Conference champions?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals be Eastern Conference champions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.