CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7da6b8aaed8e8e9c6356c9ff09a930ff2192630691448265ce4fb4c7d789bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c5c…ecf0backed Yes | 35c | 6,097$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 47c | 2,680$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.53 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 1,704$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 29c | 992.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 31c | 942.38$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 25c | 808.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 14c | 791.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2605backed Yes | 50c | 647.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 78c | 637.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…8baebacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…2200backed Yes | 38c | 500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes | 36c | 416.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 386.65$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…066abacked No | 63c | 322.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…0da5backed Yes | 36c | 296.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 70c | 280.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…66a4backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 15c | 270.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…55c4backed Yes | 38c | 260.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 74c | 219$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 44c | 217.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…c3fdbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…276fbacked Yes | 36c | 173.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 36c | 149.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…1489backed Yes | 36c | 140.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 39c | 139.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed Yes | 28c | 135$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…b27abacked Yes | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 58c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 19c | 104.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…0cfabacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 40c | 89.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 50c | 79.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 67c | 76.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…16bfbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…48cfbacked Yes | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…fbcfbacked Yes | 49c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…15d0backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3e5cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…9511backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?this page
- Will FaZe win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.