CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ef1d8b48050ababfbbf0b17c2e66bfa808749ac4f88065a781abdcf0e5f744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5269…45f0backed No | 34c | 37,320$12,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,688.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…6d84backed Yes | 66c | 37,320$24,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,688.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed No | 46c | 6,162$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 70c | 2,876$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 49c | 2,525$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.69 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 67c | 2,250$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.79 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 53c | 1,334$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,110$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked No | 51c | 978.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 59c | 907.25$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 32c | 811.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed No | 40c | 586.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 26c | 527.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 3c | 505$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 4c | 346.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 73c | 306.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…0718backed Yes | 73c | 297.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 36c | 259.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc657…9f83backed Yes | 63c | 258$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 40c | 237.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 68c | 221.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…c5abbacked Yes | 66c | 155.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…4830backed Yes | 64c | 153.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…a3c3backed Yes | 59c | 151.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 33c | 147.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed No | 71c | 141.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Yes | 71c | 137.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 119.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…6bd8backed Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 45c | 101.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…8baebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…b58abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 96.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Yes | 53c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 66c | 90.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…f3cbbacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 49c | 79.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e87abacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…c8f8backed Yes | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed No | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 50c | 50.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Yes | 75c | 34.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…09eebacked Yes | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…0cfabacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…77d4backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…b477backed Yes | 65c | 27.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed No | 61c | 16.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?this page
- Will FaZe win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Rivals Season 1 Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.