F1 · resolved market
Will Mercedes have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7fcb6056fdbf472a1c65f90cf00b12a7bbecbb3eb00938eb899ddef4d8f28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb78…73a8backed Yes | 76c | 524.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 35c | 363.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…c58ebacked Yes | 54c | 328.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 263.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 34c | 248.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…18a6backed Yes | 37c | 243.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…109ebacked Yes | 37c | 185.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…aca4backed Yes | 35c | 158.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…9788backed Yes | 35c | 146.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…ca9cbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 58c | 49.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 51c | 44.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…b9ecbacked Yes | 42c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…a686backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…2c8abacked Yes | 34c | 32.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 38c | 29.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 68c | 25.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…b08dbacked Yes | 57c | 20.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mercedes have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?this page
- Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?Yes won
- Will McLaren have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?No won
- Will Red Bull have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.