Tennis · resolved market
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e26442bb9d1768c8344ee78249feffe8df59398652545a77c8d55593bac1b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x521e…5739backed Yes | 42c | 27,845$11,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,694.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…0058backed No | 58c | 27,845$16,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,694.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 45c | 5,987$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.94 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 5,236$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.88 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 54c | 610$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.06 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 53c | 609.16$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 55c | 217.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 48c | 83.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 53c | 79.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes | 47c | 43.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aa3dbacked Yes | 47c | 30.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…7aa8backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?this page
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?Yes won
- Will Iga Świątek win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 Women's Madrid Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.