F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b29ecce63abbf3007ba40e0ea83944256213c54e8e0be042e921f558de9b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked No | 26c | 1,050$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 16c | 646.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 24c | 497.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 292.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 16c | 275.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 29c | 172.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 13c | 167.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 164.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 19c | 149.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…3265backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 15c | 91.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 16c | 78.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…7914backed Yes | 78c | 67.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…1682backed Yes | 70c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.