Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea828c98362c3d9c5e8f6ae0ee3bd6656f0e0ed69a8be9bcf9073923590d323c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $681,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7bc…9be9backed No | 61c | 103,246$62,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,685.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 61c | 94,833$58,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,207.77 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 40c | 77,882$30,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,071.52 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 38c | 70,813$26,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,147.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…cb68backed Yes | 36c | 54,505$19,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,724.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 40c | 39,142$15,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,330.32 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed No | 1c | 37,530$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 11c | 33,742$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.24 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44b…bea3backed Yes | 39c | 30,718$11,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,738.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a34…ff77backed No | 61c | 30,701$18,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,727.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 55c | 30,621$16,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,869.43 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…5241backed No | 0c | 30,420$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 59c | 30,000$17,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,601.64 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 55c | 23,808$13,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,088.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 42c | 19,143$8,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,054.81 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a5c8backed Yes | 35c | 17,824$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,553.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 49c | 16,241$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.56 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 62c | 16,000$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 24c | 12,678$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.18 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 79c | 7,464$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.16 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 62c | 6,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 54c | 5,473$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.14 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 35c | 5,160$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.78 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 66c | 3,914$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 28c | 2,838$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.41 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 62c | 2,728$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,690$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed No | 61c | 2,642$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 69c | 2,635$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 39c | 2,490$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.05 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 60c | 2,221$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 40c | 2,151$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…f47fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.96 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 59c | 1,891$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.82 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 51c | 1,877$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.34 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 1,859$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.39 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 13c | 1,826$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.53 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,820$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.29 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 45c | 1,809$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.79 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,123$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 46c | 1,011$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 53c | 907.08$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.55 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…32e6backed Yes | 40c | 729.15$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 15c | 700$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…c40fbacked No | 68c | 664.46$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 64c | 610.48$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 24c | 570.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.93 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 551$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 6c | 533$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9d6abacked Yes | 40c | 506.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 55c | 450$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 35c | 449.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 38c | 421.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 77c | 337.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 10c | 335.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 37c | 309.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 66c | 299.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 62c | 283.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed No | 27c | 267.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…f243backed No | 62c | 260$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fd04backed No | 60c | 182.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 61c | 148.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 50c | 144.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 39c | 130.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9e42backed Yes | 41c | 130.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 20c | 120.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 59c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 105.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…a113backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d8…ccb9backed No | 27c | 95.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…2294backed No | 63c | 93.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 82.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 62c | 80.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 26c | 73.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 58c | 62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…634cbacked No | 53c | 61.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…0a8dbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 70c | 50.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.