TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8136…ff77backed Yes33c55,128$18,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,935.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6818…72d1backed No67c55,128$36,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,935.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf55…eb6abacked Yes55c43,089$23,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,390.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe841…d8a4backed No45c43,089$19,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,390.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes47c3,782$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.5610137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes38c2,882$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.4512927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bf…ddafbacked No42c1,652$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.0915125.2%38 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes42c1,521$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.419138.5%35 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed No35c1,156$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No43c980.28$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4219115.4%14 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed Yes35c822.81$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.913438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x662c…bfe7backed Yes74c675.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.954358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No77c649.18$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c643.08$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3126835.1%94 W · 174 L-38.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe75f…edafbacked No53c638.74$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.352365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+75.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4bc2…597abacked No32c616.68$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2413230.3%40 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No77c615.25$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.749037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes21c569.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.256933.3%23 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…17bdbacked No73c561$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.891060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No79c469.47$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.98247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e8…14f0backed No66c438.87$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked No80c420$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Yes65c416.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.592759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa810…fd25backed Yes50c404.86$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.862623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002020%4 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-73.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes27c370.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.839962.6%62 W · 37 L+12.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No60c353.36$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.022429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No59c342.72$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8225528.2%72 W · 183 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed No25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510812%13 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes58c285.79$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7212937.2%48 W · 81 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes75c261.34$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f2…b499backed No77c250$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No75c239.52$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.544459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes22c205$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+126.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…6ee3backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df5…d25dbacked No79c196.59$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.31450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes36c193.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.341736.2%151 W · 266 L-25.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed No39c189.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.543839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No40c186.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e72…9938backed Yes22c168$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7a0…beecbacked Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes66c147.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes15c146.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.24234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick24cpaid-71%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed Yes22c140$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes24c127.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.581442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fc…06b0backed Yes75c110.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No24c104.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.845327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No78c104.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.230837.7%116 W · 192 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes24c102.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e52…fefbbacked No30c101$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d3…30babacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782975.9%22 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e56…f9aebacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263215.6%5 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes45c90.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9511530.4%35 W · 80 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes68c85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.566665.2%43 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed Yes59c79.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.022982.8%24 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb99…9ff1backed Yes40c78.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9f…e8c9backed No77c75.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b48…35d0backed No61c71.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.254065%26 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d22…b357backed No78c70.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb1…0ffdbacked Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No40c65.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.844060%24 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf386…1158backed No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes29c61.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.129734%33 W · 64 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked No51c59.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.255850%29 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes26c57.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6411225.9%29 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed Yes36c54.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No38c52.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017122.2%38 W · 133 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes67c52.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4610426%27 W · 77 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes24c49.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No53c47.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8414239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c0…90f5backed Yes71c43.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…bbdebacked No29c43.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aba…afcbbacked Yes75c40.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe425…9e9abacked No79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248b…562cbacked Yes47c35.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No38c35.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6320026%52 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f0…a149backed No31c35.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9076…f6a4backed No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d3…3f3cbacked No74c24.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5437…7e5abacked Yes61c21.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.474746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b9b…7febbacked No77c19.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No68c15.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.631625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes74c14.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.766033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.