TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcbd5…6962backed No68c54,109$36,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,794.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1b…b5fabacked Yes32c54,109$17,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,794.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e8…d139backed No68c52,766$35,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,880.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122f…0412backed Yes32c52,745$16,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,866.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb75…098bbacked No58c28,053$16,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,270.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0b…1d34backed Yes42c28,053$11,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,270.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No58c9,355$5,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,403.857356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes41c8,000$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7201464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes31c4,777$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.4913934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No60c3,213$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.664353.5%23 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes29c2,842$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.2228828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No72c2,665$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c2,067$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.114459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No60c1,742$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.425253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No51c1,482$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.541,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…26ecbacked Yes42c1,450$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes30c1,227$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.93928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No61c1,192$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.193542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes41c1,067$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.813158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No65c922.62$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.482250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes44c909.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9987…fe68backed Yes48c832.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes42c799.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No68c767$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3562952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes41c758.14$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.062634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes45c743.69$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.032152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Yes43c634.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes39c560.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No66c539.67$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5418740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes41c490$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes42c471.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.46425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes35c458.25$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes46c445.92$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7638348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c427.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed No59c374.9$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1910839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No71c330$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23463942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes38c329$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.382524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec5…20d8backed Yes32c306.42$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+82.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes42c270.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.829149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51de…c4d1backed No49c252.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No14c248.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7838147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa9…1e7bbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4e…2f37backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d47…30aabacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes45c216.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked No57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No59c169.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.819154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Yes38c156.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.143540%14 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes40c150$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…7c5abacked Yes42c142.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.841233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No62c141.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.452065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes77c120.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a95…2d06backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5917349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5864540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4341…2c3abacked Yes42c91.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217f…b890backed Yes30c90.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a3…e630backed Yes47c84.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No68c82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No72c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ff…9b3ebacked Yes67c75.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.437565.3%49 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099a…13f5backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes39c68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.671,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb740…8885backed Yes38c65.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes43c64.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849a…d636backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No62c62.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.894252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81b…89b1backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.143627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2e…c1c4backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ef…1212backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No64c49.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.686863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb825…7aa8backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0b…b156backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ee…73f5backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Yes41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5512256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes42c43.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3515961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f9…f503backed No73c40.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…0b8fbacked Yes44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+113.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x862e…a60cbacked Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+86.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No70c37.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5917650.6%89 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba0…5e7fbacked Yes35c34.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+288.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5080…610bbacked No59c34.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1e…75edbacked No64c33.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f6…75a7backed Yes42c32.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+145.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…7d35backed No66c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa0…2a08backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…e50dbacked No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.