NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a45fa17c050b00abfa792c387f1871010c55493e5c8f43ea72d53dd976e35a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Ducks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ducks | 40c | 6,974$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.71 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Flames | 62c | 4,720$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.96 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 39c | 4,456$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 15c | 3,000$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.43 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 36c | 2,957$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.28 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Flames | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…f75ebacked Flames | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…9957backed Ducks | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Flames | 62c | 1,150$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.17 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 59c | 1,116$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.98 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Ducks | 38c | 1,037$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 38c | 1,034$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…1c4bbacked Flames | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Flames | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Flames | 59c | 647.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 60c | 571.21$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Flames | 67c | 546.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Flames | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Flames | 59c | 483.05$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…14f4backed Ducks | 41c | 466.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 15c | 463.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 59c | 402.42$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Ducks | 41c | 358.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Flames | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 27c | 322.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 59c | 313.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…2eb4backed Ducks | 39c | 303$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…9eeebacked Flames | 61c | 303$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Ducks | 7c | 232$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Flames | 61c | 213.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flames | 58c | 176.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Flames | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…1e79backed Flames | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Flames | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Ducks | 42c | 141.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 39c | 137.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…c162backed Ducks | 42c | 126.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…bd03backed Ducks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 58c | 120.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 58c | 120.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…3b98backed Ducks | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…2d42backed Flames | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…be1bbacked Flames | 62c | 109$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…5113backed Ducks | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…803abacked Flames | 63c | 106$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…8321backed Ducks | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3640…5f75backed Ducks | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…54fcbacked Flames | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Flames | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…ba99backed Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…ecf4backed Flames | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1a…c803backed Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Flames | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…edd0backed Ducks | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…29c7backed Ducks | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…84d2backed Flames | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…0e01backed Flames | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…bb8fbacked Ducks | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…8093backed Flames | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…127ebacked Flames | 59c | 91.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…3d0bbacked Flames | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…68c0backed Ducks | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…c9fbbacked Ducks | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…c3abbacked Flames | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…9583backed Flames | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…2b64backed Ducks | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…2f7fbacked Flames | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…5dbcbacked Ducks | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…9100backed Ducks | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…7df9backed Flames | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…e6e2backed Flames | 60c | 76.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…04cdbacked Flames | 60c | 75.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…0685backed Ducks | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…4da6backed Flames | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ducks | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…b336backed Flames | 60c | 58.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…81a1backed Flames | 60c | 57.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Flames | 61c | 51.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Flames | 59c | 50.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Flames | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Flames | 60c | 49.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…6e92backed Ducks | 41c | 48.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa997…bc99backed Flames | 60c | 48.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…6bdabacked Flames | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…cd40backed Ducks | 42c | 47.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…69e9backed Flames | 60c | 46.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…bf5abacked Ducks | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…8965backed Flames | 71c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Flames | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…68c9backed Ducks | 40c | 35.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…4fa1backed Ducks | 42c | 33.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Flames | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.