Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeadfdcaf812f6b7c533d0424338e1a88b5da35a2e54b43ec030c54286a6180b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,186,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,257,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1123…2caebacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…e226backed No | 0c | 97,370$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9128…cdfcbacked No | 0c | 73,459$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…97c9backed No | 0c | 38,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…0a31backed No | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…edcdbacked No | 0c | 31,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…51ecbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked No | 0c | 28,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…f3a0backed No | 19c | 26,614$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…a2cfbacked No | 0c | 20,027$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…2806backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…cbccbacked No | 0c | 14,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 13c | 13,960$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.09 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…5235backed No | 0c | 12,742$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…c372backed No | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…fcdbbacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…1553backed No | 0c | 11,810$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…3e64backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2406…0debbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 59c | 9,997$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.07 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed No | 0c | 6,808$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 5,958$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…d197backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 9c | 2,501$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 6c | 2,365$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.57 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 56c | 2,099$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.02 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 52c | 1,800$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.53 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,685$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…2fbebacked No | 73c | 1,456$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 9c | 1,400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,333$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.95 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 2c | 1,308$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.65 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 60c | 998$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 10c | 970.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 25c | 955.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 78c | 935.77$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.82 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 27c | 910.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.14 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 9c | 877.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 30c | 704.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.59 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed Yes | 13c | 699.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 22c | 690.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 8c | 669.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.92 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 5c | 561.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 5c | 531.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.43 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 520.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.01 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 8c | 510$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 500.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.44 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…10ebbacked No | 12c | 468.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 4c | 444$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 399.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…df20backed Yes | 4c | 364.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +513.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 354$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…aeebbacked Yes | 38c | 346.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 8c | 256.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed No | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…fdf7backed Yes | 7c | 247$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +282.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 41c | 244.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 9c | 236.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed Yes | 15c | 230$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 208.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ade…dbcbbacked Yes | 12c | 164.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 7c | 151$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 137.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 7c | 133.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 20c | 130.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 22c | 130$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…8569backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 19c | 122.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 13c | 103.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…7a74backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…e40dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…aadebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2cc0backed No | 79c | 86.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed No | 65c | 53.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.