TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Jets45c15,002$6,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,301.2736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Jets42c10,481$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,079.3130549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Golden Knights58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8008749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights3c6,071$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.317448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets46c5,555$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.6731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights53c4,292$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.9649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Golden Knights59c4,218$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.357361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights54c3,560$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.821,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jets43c2,886$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.7824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights54c2,695$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.0713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights53c1,931$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.3211354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed Jets42c1,845$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Golden Knights54c1,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Golden Knights4c1,421$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.644330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Golden Knights58c1,277$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.5813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Jets43c1,161$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.7710627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights59c1,106$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.5475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets44c1,098$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.591,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…a5edbacked Golden Knights58c950$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets42c926$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5a61backed Golden Knights58c900$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Golden Knights61c820.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Golden Knights54c777$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5813756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Jets47c600$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32120649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights25c581.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.421,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Golden Knights54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights53c509.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights59c500$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Jets47c496$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Golden Knights53c496$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights54c444$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Jets48c417.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2913457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Golden Knights56c416.41$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.197352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights54c344.31$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.241,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5d…dbd2backed Golden Knights54c338$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0e…c08fbacked Jets46c338$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…2ae1backed Jets46c332$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c47…eb9ebacked Golden Knights54c332$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jets72c307.14$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8613348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054a…013fbacked Jets46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d03…3141backed Golden Knights54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b3…ce24backed Golden Knights54c237$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…eb45backed Jets46c237$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights62c224.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1398959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Golden Knights58c219.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.64161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Jets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Golden Knights19c207.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights56c203.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Golden Knights39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9d…33ccbacked Golden Knights54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…b326backed Jets46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets47c199.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9824457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6218…676bbacked Golden Knights53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…7fecbacked Golden Knights54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights53c181.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4963…a772backed Golden Knights57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…093bbacked Golden Knights59c170.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c0…14a1backed Jets42c119.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1f…acc2backed Jets42c117.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets38c117.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7903…bd65backed Jets48c116.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c1…d4f7backed Jets46c116$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e30…9b9cbacked Golden Knights54c116$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Golden Knights53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a7…dd85backed Jets47c110.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a68…7380backed Golden Knights53c109$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…f48dbacked Jets47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2a…e815backed Jets47c107.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…28d7backed Jets47c102.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…0b58backed Jets47c102.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…8e1dbacked Jets79c100.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Jets40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe076…184cbacked Jets79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…e2e1backed Golden Knights54c97.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jets43c97.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…0570backed Golden Knights54c97.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f4…0d7bbacked Golden Knights54c92.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75a0…45fdbacked Golden Knights59c91.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Jets45c89.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.781172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c8…6bf3backed Jets48c89.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x525c…f9a7backed Golden Knights59c88.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a67…7438backed Golden Knights54c86.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98c…02c6backed Golden Knights59c86.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5632…433bbacked Golden Knights54c84.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…4b80backed Golden Knights54c83.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30cd…f9f0backed Jets79c83.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Jets42c82.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41c…f9fbbacked Jets47c82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3559…e791backed Golden Knights53c82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Golden Knights59c78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0239757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Jets79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.754957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Golden Knights54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.