NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2ac7f324996426129f77d7f2c607ef7d9f0f242a362a67788967d4a6898236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Flames, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Flames | 39c | 3,130$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.75 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 64c | 2,492$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Flames | 27c | 2,056$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Flames | 43c | 1,834$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Utah | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Flames | 37c | 1,498$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 62c | 1,480$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 62c | 1,468$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.94 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 72c | 1,348$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Utah | 62c | 1,162$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flames | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Utah | 62c | 894$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.72 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 64c | 823.78$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Flames | 39c | 704.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 61c | 671.79$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ac…6b02backed Flames | 37c | 599.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Utah | 62c | 546.6$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 39c | 478.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 61c | 432.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Flames | 37c | 381$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Utah | 63c | 311$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Utah | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flames | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 62c | 221.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Utah | 78c | 209.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Utah | 61c | 182.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…bca0backed Flames | 38c | 161$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Utah | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…5b6bbacked Flames | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…b13cbacked Utah | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…1558backed Flames | 42c | 158$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…9c24backed Utah | 58c | 158$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah | 63c | 157.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Utah | 62c | 152.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…1d67backed Utah | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2d…bf24backed Flames | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Flames | 27c | 146.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…62dcbacked Flames | 38c | 142.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Flames | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Flames | 37c | 127.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 12c | 124.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8eefbacked Utah | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…79d2backed Flames | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Flames | 22c | 113.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…6fdbbacked Flames | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…8cbcbacked Utah | 62c | 101.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Flames | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…a238backed Flames | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Flames | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…2d8dbacked Utah | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1c…1bccbacked Flames | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Flames | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…4451backed Flames | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…e602backed Utah | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Utah | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…1148backed Utah | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…4af4backed Flames | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Flames | 28c | 83.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…2c06backed Utah | 63c | 81.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…0a04backed Flames | 38c | 78.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 64c | 78.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed Utah | 63c | 78.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Utah | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…371dbacked Flames | 39c | 76.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…413cbacked Flames | 39c | 75.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Utah | 63c | 74.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…1321backed Utah | 64c | 74.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…92a9backed Utah | 63c | 71.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…69bbbacked Flames | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…b88fbacked Utah | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Flames | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Utah | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…43e7backed Flames | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…446bbacked Utah | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Flames | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Flames | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…582fbacked Flames | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…0388backed Utah | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Flames | 30c | 49.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7996…3fa2backed Utah | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…047bbacked Flames | 38c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…f299backed Flames | 38c | 45.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…f587backed Flames | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…d9ebbacked Flames | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…67fcbacked Flames | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…28d8backed Utah | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Utah | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…a51abacked Flames | 38c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Utah | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed Utah | 69c | 33.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Utah | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Utah | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Utah | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Utah | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.