TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Sharks, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks63c5,235$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks37c5,062$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.9436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks37c4,835$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.4792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Ducks63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.95660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Sharks37c4,509$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.1513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks71c4,103$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Sharks36c2,898$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.2249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks63c2,504$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.351,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Sharks36c2,333$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.8820147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks37c2,213$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.331,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Sharks37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7407352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Sharks11c1,688$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Ducks65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Ducks64c1,492$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.095757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Sharks49c1,437$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ducks64c1,339$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8919555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Ducks65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ac…6b02backed Sharks28c984.02$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks36c841.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sharks36c711.14$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Ducks63c665$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks37c648$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks38c642.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Sharks37c640$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Ducks63c518.59$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks50c445.64$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.271,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Ducks63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks36c387$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Sharks37c356$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.721662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Sharks36c337.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Ducks64c311$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.969064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Ducks65c308$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10819848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks36c302.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Ducks63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Sharks24c287.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.223729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Ducks73c273.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5611051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Ducks63c271.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.432669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Ducks60c225.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.398959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Sharks35c222$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Sharks20c203.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.019863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3573…b6f9backed Sharks18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Ducks80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8eb3backed Sharks6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b98…41b0backed Sharks37c165.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Ducks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Ducks65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks20c146.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x705b…7483backed Ducks76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Ducks63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.054257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1735…6fdbbacked Ducks63c114.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.291457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Ducks54c111.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks37c108$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks37c104.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5b…07f1backed Ducks64c100.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.032259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sharks37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3735154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Ducks64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…c723backed Ducks64c95.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.252450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cd…febebacked Sharks37c93.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.652347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0070…4553backed Sharks37c86.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1b…72fcbacked Ducks63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Ducks65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d7…2964backed Sharks37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Ducks64c78.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.142458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Ducks38c77.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0710127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a01…8926backed Sharks37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3da5…206bbacked Ducks63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39d…d87fbacked Sharks37c73.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.221926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Ducks64c68.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Ducks64c67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1220861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sharks38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Sharks24c65.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…34bfbacked Ducks63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9627…1d84backed Sharks37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cd…15c4backed Ducks64c64.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67a5…4356backed Sharks37c63.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed Ducks63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Ducks77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0735…da59backed Sharks37c59.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.182227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b62…ef31backed Ducks64c59.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Ducks77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4415470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Ducks65c55.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.585954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Sharks36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Ducks64c55.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab31…b79ebacked Sharks37c51.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Ducks63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fd…fdfebacked Ducks63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Ducks61c49.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.119555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3448…0246backed Ducks63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Ducks67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks66c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Ducks63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.823462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0641954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a35…4e10backed Sharks37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.062347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Ducks41c36.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3638744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sharks37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.