TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8011…e98ebacked Golden Knights12c8,651$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.749863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Golden Knights49c2,479$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2264751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights35c2,213$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights76c1,948$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.9658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Oilers29c1,884$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers38c1,872$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.691,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers26c1,766$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.3385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights68c1,648$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.6792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Oilers41c1,497$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.231662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Golden Knights59c1,497$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.231353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights72c1,423$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.311,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Oilers40c1,358$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.6564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers40c1,152$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.2536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights62c1,000$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62424457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers74c928.2$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Golden Knights34c878.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9811051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights42c853.56$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.998870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b21…6199backed Oilers35c831.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.591250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Golden Knights61c819.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Golden Knights60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Golden Knights49c772.64$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.594831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights61c680$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Golden Knights77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Oilers38c634.65$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights60c612$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked Oilers39c550$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights58c497.81$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.731,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers39c488.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers40c475.93$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers39c450$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers40c449.2$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers41c410.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Golden Knights62c404.87$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers70c391.25$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers40c361.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.881,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Golden Knights60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Oilers38c333$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.467240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Oilers41c324.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Golden Knights60c311$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.69064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Oilers26c299.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2223729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Oilers66c287.62$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights60c283.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers39c234.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Oilers36c224.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.775337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47ac…6b02backed Golden Knights17c223.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights59c221.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oilers39c204.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4529748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Golden Knights29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad42…2421backed Oilers40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a75…ff83backed Golden Knights60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights60c187.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbd…50a3backed Oilers40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb488…b374backed Golden Knights60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Oilers41c168$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213e…4728backed Golden Knights59c168$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.121050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Golden Knights60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Golden Knights60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Golden Knights59c159$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7ceabacked Oilers41c159$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Oilers28c157.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x705b…7483backed Golden Knights64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fba…03ffbacked Oilers40c155$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Golden Knights60c155$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf92…f7dbbacked Golden Knights60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…bcd8backed Oilers40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb78d…1935backed Oilers40c148.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Oilers39c147.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…f582backed Golden Knights60c144$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ba…dc31backed Oilers40c143.73$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e70…0907backed Oilers40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942c…0625backed Golden Knights60c140$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Golden Knights70c122.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8515470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a66…7b61backed Oilers40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb50b…2009backed Golden Knights60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Golden Knights38c118.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0638744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2987…1148backed Golden Knights60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Golden Knights11c112$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.324436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers40c105$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916a…2ee3backed Oilers38c104$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.48560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff6…bdafbacked Golden Knights62c104$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfa…f191backed Golden Knights60c103$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…9e23backed Oilers40c103$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Golden Knights61c101.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.082360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e80…791fbacked Golden Knights61c101.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce8…53eabacked Oilers39c101.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Oilers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Golden Knights76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7621255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61b3…5cc4backed Oilers41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfc…6858backed Oilers69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Golden Knights56c98.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2c…fcb2backed Oilers39c85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1789…74afbacked Golden Knights61c85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.851450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Golden Knights62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…67fcbacked Oilers40c79.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.